Mega Evolution Pull Rates
The rarest hit in Mega Evolution, Mega Hyper Rare, shows up 1 in 1,250 packs. Odds come from TCGplayer Authentication Center, based on more than 5,000 opened packs.
Mega Evolution pull rates by rarity
| Rarity | Chance per pack | About 1 in | Per 36-pack box | Packs for a 90% chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 20.91% | 4.8 packs | 7.5 | 10 |
| Ultra Rare | 8.23% | 12 packs | 3.0 | 27 |
| Illustration Rare | 10.89% | 9.2 packs | 3.9 | 20 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 0.99% | 101 packs | 0.4 | 232 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 0.08% | 1,250 packs | 0.0 | 2878 |
Source: TCGplayer Authentication Center, Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution Pull Rates, 2025-09-30.
Chances are per pack, for any card of that rarity. A box holds 36 packs. The 90% column is how many packs you open to have a 9 in 10 chance of at least one.
Is Mega Evolution going up or down?
| 7 days | 30 days | 90 days | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Evolution value | down 2.0% | down 12.5% | 0.0% | Falling |
Rising or falling means more than 3% up or down over 30 days; anything closer is flat. The set value adds up each card's market price; its 90 days also count sealed products.
What the numbers show
The set came out 13 months ago.
Over the last 90 days the set value stayed about the same (-0%).
Not financial advice. Past prices don't predict future prices.
Questions about Mega Evolution
How many packs does it take to pull a Mega Hyper Rare in Mega Evolution?
About 1,250 packs on average (0.08% per pack). To have a 90% chance of at least one, open about 2,878 packs.
What are the Mega Evolution pull rates?
Chance per pack: Double Rare 20.91% (about 1 in 5), Ultra Rare 8.23% (about 1 in 12), Illustration Rare 10.89% (about 1 in 9), Special Illustration Rare 0.99% (about 1 in 101), Mega Hyper Rare 0.08% (about 1 in 1,250). Source: TCGplayer Authentication Center.
How many hits are in a Mega Evolution booster box?
A 36-pack box holds about 14.8 hits on average, counting every rarity in the table above.